April 2018

“What keeps you awake at night?” “Nothing. I keep other people awake at night” James Mattis

SUMMARY

  • Despite widespread negativity and perceived risks, markets are trading very resiliently
  • Oil prices are driven by steady demand growth and supply side constraints
  • The “trade war” is unlikely to escalate but will help Trump score an easy victory, supporting midterm election prospects
  • Following the additional sanctions against Russia, selected assets in the country appear attractive for a trade

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